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MetroRail’s A/C issues – WMATA responds
In light of WMATA's recent decision to implement "Conditional Eligibility" on MetroAccess riders, which will force many riders in time to have to use fixed-route transit, DC ParaTransit Info has started to take a closer look at the conditions of that system and its readiness to provide reliable safe transit for people with disabilities.
One of the things we have noticed is the number of complaints online regarding the HVAC systems on MetroRail trains.
This can be a critical issue for many disabled riders - heat especially can have an amplified deleterious effect on people, dependent on their disability. That's not even examining the effects of excessive heat on able-bodied riders themselves.
So we contacted WMATA to ask about the air-conditioning not working/heating being on issue. Glenn Millis, the Director of ADA Programs in the Department of Access Services sent us back this:
Air-conditioning on hot, humid muggy days is important to everyone but especially so to those who because of a disability are sensitive to temperatures. On a hot, humid day, approximately 4% of our 1106 cars experience HVAC problems. As you probably know, each and every Metrorail car has it's own air conditioning system. This is why, on occasion, one car in a train may be warm but the others are cool.
Proper operation of the air-conditioning system is checked during a daily safety and functional test, which is performed on every rail car prior to its release into service. This is what commonly called a pre-trip inspection. When any defects with the air conditioning system are found the rail car is held out of service until repairs are performed. In other words our policy is to withhold any car with malfunctioning air conditioning from service.
Unfortunately, we do experience mechanical failures within the air conditioning system on the rail cars after the cars are sent into service. Those cars affected are removed from service where they are inspected, tested, and repaired before returning to service.
We did some of our own number crunching on these figures.
Qualifiers:
Please note that in our analysis we worked on the assumption that all 1106 rail cars would be active and in use, the analysis doesn't take into account variables we at DCPTI cannot quantify, such as how many cars are out of service at any given time for repairs, refurbishment, or just not needed at the time. Likewise, we do not know how the 4% figure was arrived at with regards to timeframe - we do not know if that's the target for a day, a week, a month, a year ...
"Approximately 4% of 1106" cars equals just over 44 cars at any time that would have mechanical issues with their HVAC systems.
Those 1106 cars, if they were all in service at the same time, and given a consist of 8 cars, would come to 138 trains.
If the 44 rail cars with HVAC issues were distributed one per train (44 trains) that would equate to around one third of the trains running at that time having a car with such problems.

- Image via Wikipedia
Statistically speaking, riders therefore have around a 0.04% chance of the car they get on having broken HVAC - but a 30%+ chance of getting on a train with a car that has such issues.
This analysis is based solely on Mr Millis' numbers regarding the target of how many cars have broken HVAC - it doesn't take into account train cars whose HVAC system has been turned off, or has been set to "heat" instead of "A/C". We're unsure if drivers have the ability to change the HVAC settings for this to occur, our request for clarification of the possibility of human error like this has, as yet, gone unanswered.
4% of 1106 rail cars seems a small amount, and the standard disclaimers about any statistics apply - they rarely reflect the real world situation.
Our analysis based on the limited information we have available to us does result in the startling conclusion that riders have a 30%+ chance of boarding a train where one of its cars has HVAC problems - and given the complaints posted online, it certainly feels sometimes that people are hitting that number all the time.
But as we qualified at the start of this analysis, we did not (and cannot) take into account the number of cars not in service, which presumably will inevitably include some of those with HVAC issues. We also are unable to say that there are 138 trains running at any time on the system. These factors will naturally reduce the resultant statistical chances of getting on a car with a mechanical defect in its HVAC system.
Finally, we also have to note that WMATA's response did point out the pre-trip inspection regime. It's entirely possible that rolling stock with HVAC problems included in the 4% target figure is detected during the pre-trip inspection, and therefore is pulled out of service for repairs rather than be used on the system (though, with all due respect to the policies of WMATA, we aren't entirely certain that, in the rush to get cars out for peak periods, some of that defective rolling stock won't be pressed into service even so).
But having said that, the possibility of human error, incorrect settings of the HVAC system when it leaves the yards or by the drivers - whilst we cannot quantify it statistically until we hear back if drivers have the ability to change HVAC settings - may offset the reduction in the statistics maintenance and out of service trains creates.
We offer these figures to the general ridership as information only. If WMATA feels our analysis is incorrect, we would gladly respond and change our analysis should we receive better information on which to base it upon from them.
With the switch to Conditional Eligibility, the disabled community needs assurances fixed-route Metro services are usable. MetroRail cars without working A/C, or worse having the heating running, can be more than an annoyance both for able-bodied and disabled riders alike, hence our curiosity of the situation.
Whilst we understand that mechanical defects crop up all the time, and that WMATA has policies and targets with regards to HVAC issues being detected and resolved, a one-third chance of boarding a train with HVAC issues isn't something to be sneezed at. Given the realities of the system, that 0.04% chance of boarding a specific car with HVAC issues may be the number to grab hold of and hope for the best - we certainly can't see how WMATA could realistically reduce the percentages.
Although we do find it curious that, in the real world, reports seem to indicate the majority of cars in service with HVAC or bad-settings issues appear concentrated on the Red and Orange lines.
DC ParaTransit Info is grateful for the assistance of Glenn Millis in providing the basic numbers in answer to our query to WMATA on this topic. As always, WMATA is free to respond to our analysis of its numbers here or privately.

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June 14th, 2010 - 09:11
Thanks for this article. There is a little bit of a problem with the analysis.
First, only about 25% of rush-hour trains are run as 8-car consists. That increases the number of trains created with 1100 railcars. The total number of trains run peaks in rush hour at about 120-125, or around 850 railcars, so you’re not too far off there.
Second, unless one car without AC can affect the other cars in the same train somehow, it’s unfair to inflate the numbers by implying there’s a problem if any car in a train has a problem. Yes, you might have a 30% chance of getting on a train with at least one car with HVAC problems, but in that train you have a 1 in 6 or a 1 in 8 chance of being in the car with HVAC problems, which is the same 4% that Metro quoted.
June 14th, 2010 - 13:48
Hi Michael, welcome to our little corner of the interwebs – like your GGW posts!
We didn't realize so small a percentage of rush-hour trains are 8-car consists. That actually helps us to understand why we see a lot of the (separate issue of) complaints of not enough cars on the system for rush hour, thank you for enlightening us!
When we raised the HVAC issue with WMATA, we wanted to try and get a handle on why so many people were consistently complaining about it.
Unfortunately, we weren't dealing with our usual contacts from the MetroAccess side of WMATA, so only got the pseudo-boilerplate response we quoted here instead of the detailed ones we usually get.
From Glenn Millis' original reply to us, we're led to believe that the HVAC systems in each car are independent and a closed system, which in theory wouldn't affect the HVAC in the rest of the consist (I think?).
We're still unable to say if the driver has any control over HVAC operation on their trains – I don't suppose you know anything about this (or know someone who does?) so we can eliminate that as a possibility?
We tried to emphasize from the start that our analysis was based on the numbers alone, without taking into account variables that we can't quantify – the biggest being no idea how many cars with HVAC issues are taken out of service rather than deployed. So we know more information coming in will help us refine the analysis.
From the perspective of people with disabilities, that 1-in-6 or 1-in-8 chance of getting a car with HVAC issues is kind of important – there are practical issues that traditionally limit the cars available to us – though I'll admit in many cases they're not "barriers" per se.
It's not very easy for many people with disabilities to switch cars at a station, for example – Once we're in a car, we're pretty much there for the duration. Likewise, for some people (for example some blind riders) the familiarity issue kicks in – it may be important for their "memory" of their route to use the same car each time.
So the 4% number, or 0.04% chance measured against the entire rolling stock, whilst small (and, in all probability, not able to be reduced practically), still brings it to a level that people in the community need to be aware of (and, maybe gives able-bodied riders more information than they had before on this issue to boot).
We did try to qualify the basis of the analysis as best we could and pointed out it didn't take into account practicality and real-world issues. I can see how the resulting data from pure math alone may seem to be unfair, but I'd hope those qualifiers would bring the results into some perspective for the readers.
We're not really trying to question their numbers specifically (though we have a reputation for demolishing their MetroAccess statistics on a regular basis), more trying to get a better handle on the issue's prominence in the feeds and on the 'net in general.
With Conditional Eligibility looming, we want to try and find the answers to things people with disabilities may have heard about but don't understand and get answers – and if we find issues that we think may become problems down the line, try to raise them with WMATA in time to resolve them before they blow up.
June 14th, 2010 - 13:42
The only way to easily avoid cars without a/c is for the riders to tape notices on the rail car's windows warning other passengers that the car has a/c problems (ranging from no a/c to the heat being on).
HVAC implies heating as well as a/c. Most people are well bundled up in the winter and my sense is that heating problems are under-reported. My 600+ rides per hot season says I'm either:
-very- unlucky OR
my tendency to board the same position of car in the train is increasing my personal odds OR
I'm not going to get another hot commute this summer (as I'm well over the 4% of 600 to date) OR
the numbers Metro has are not accurate.
June 23rd, 2010 - 18:03
This is my fourth summer in DC and the first that I've run into train cars without a/c. It's happened on at least four different occasions the last few weeks where I boarded a car and immediately released the air was off.